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26 June 2020

CAPA India has been tracking the progression and impact of COVID since Jan-2020, and in significant detail from Mar-2020 onwards. In four detailed updates we have evaluated the impact on the entire aviation sector, with a particular emphasis on likely scenarios for post-COVID recovery.

These updates have also highlighted the need for appropriate policy responses to ensure that government and industry are together able to mitigate risks through active collaboration.


06 April 2020

Global aviation is in the midst of a crisis for which the industry is fast running out of adjectives

Based on the number of daily flights tracked by Flightradar24, global aviation activity has declined by 66.8% over the last month. In India the decline in aircraft movements has been even more dramatic, with the government having suspended all scheduled domestic and international flights until 15-Apr-2020, a date which may be further extended. With the exception of a handful of cargo and repatriation charter flights, India’s skies are largely empty.


25 March 2020

The shutdown of aviation until at least 15-Apr means that 1QFY2021 is looking increasingly like a washout

The extension of the domestic lockdown until at least 15-Apr-2020 is the right decision by the Government of India. However, it has ensured that aviation will be seriously impacted by COVID-19. The April-June quarter, traditionally one of the stronger quarters of the year for Indian airlines, is increasingly looking like it will be a washout.


23 March 2020

Shutdown of scheduled domestic airline operations in India

The Government of India’s decision to suspend all scheduled domestic airline operations with effect from midnight on Tuesday 24 March 2020, is consistent with expectations outlined in CAPA India’s report of 20 March.



COVID-19 is having an unprecedented impact on global aviation, including in India

A gathering series of travel restrictions imposed by governments around the world is reducing air traffic to a trickle on most routes. This now consists primarily of passengers seeking to return to the relative safety of their homes in advance of borders closing. Discretionary travel for business, leisure, social, education, employment or religious reasons has all but evaporated.


Expedia Group, the world’s largest online travel company, in association with CAPA India, the region’s leading aviation advisory, research and knowledge practice developed ‘The inflection point for India outbound travel’ report, to enable global travel and tourism operators to better understand the Indian outbound leisure market. The report throws light on Indian consumers’ leisure travel habits and this year’s findings suggest that there is huge potential in this segment as India contributes to only 4.8 million leisure outbound trips. Key excerpts are provided below, however please click here to request a complimentary copy of full report.


Read the key highlights below from CAPA's quarterly market insights report for the period April-June 2019, or request a copy of the full report. CAPA released its Indian Aviation Outlook for FY2020 in February 2019. Since the Outlook was initially released, the market has experienced a significant development with the suspension of operations by Jet Airways, which was the largest international and the second largest carrier in India.


In October 2017, CAPA released a strategic noting presenting our assessment of the key success factors for the proposed privatisation of Air India [see bottom of this page]. This was based on our understanding of the national carrier and the market in which it operates. Despite the best efforts of the Government of India to balance the interests of all stakeholders, the divestment process for Air India failed to attract a single expression of interest from prospective bidders.